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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34913

Doneztebe FT VS Huarte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.23%
Draw
25.59%
Away
21.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8819
Log loss
1.3629

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
f8687ed531d3a06502ae7e033b0a337a7a4d74152e9cd5d0f2e92acb77c6b87a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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