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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34901

Werder Bremen III VS Leher TS

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.04%
Draw
23.38%
Away
35.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8821
Log loss
1.4533

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
a52a6f6b2e8e0ba9361c17c3ff2134088c49ea74d98bef2ddea511157c5bddba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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