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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34827

Kooteepee VS MP

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.12%
Draw
18.68%
Away
14.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1320
Log loss
1.6777

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
6e6aba1e8266d6d7e381299246421bbf3e1d8b8d7bbb870d387862c114ccc9e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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