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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3479

Vipava VS Idrija

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.11%
Draw
32.88%
Away
44.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4750
Log loss
0.8208

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
912437bd375c74475096f00ba1a3720202f6f92a490616b7bd3a94003337a48a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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