Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #3469

Sokół Kolb. VS Wiślanie Jaśkowice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.93%
Draw
34.05%
Away
31.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6532
Log loss
1.0773

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
30f498859df8b959be3f99ccc75c1cba18984583838159670f9bf6d2caf0be29

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →