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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34596

Enyimba VS Sporting Lagos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.69%
Draw
28.12%
Away
21.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9571
Log loss
1.5516

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
4e907202fd680e8d45a62ad7a89a25e384f3a392375199a355f87dc5a25109af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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