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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34371

Strommen VS Sandnes ULF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.48%
Draw
23.95%
Away
32.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8735
Log loss
1.4292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
e684694b28019342c036d3e396609094f0e76f25bdd069dd20ea06b93d9aeaff

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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