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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3433

Beluša VS Spartak Myjava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.22%
Draw
28.41%
Away
24.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7949
Log loss
1.2585

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
35d8c330b960134775403b222567d1ba8f484f116f5f0b7afd7e13d7c3588764

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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