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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34318

Andorra U21 VS Slovakia U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.38%
Draw
27.58%
Away
53.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3341
Log loss
0.6341

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:01 UTC
SHA-256
c77a6f1e8a094b1eecfc72302f042b8637ff080f533c1afb45761b7794c1f30a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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