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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34269

Odd VS Kolbotn W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.26%
Draw
22.66%
Away
24.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9114
Log loss
1.4238

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
9673d33b2ae11d99026b84db84a5120b06418ef63cbdca802d9cc9a614c8a261

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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