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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3420

Unipomezia VS Ossese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.92%
Draw
33.33%
Away
40.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8259
Log loss
1.3501

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:45 UTC
SHA-256
806f22c58d681188662117586fbb0c944837229d802c3b4a2b1233c42802dd5e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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