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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34070

Raków Częstochowa U19 VS Górnik Zabrze U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.16%
Draw
24.81%
Away
35.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6451
Log loss
1.0492

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
80542dc863f6b0b499956911a84b4fe2cb1a3143386177929613cff69bdb368c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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