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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34064

Diósgyőr II VS DEAC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.51%
Draw
22.21%
Away
55.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9554
Log loss
1.4912

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
8514b2cf2881e8cebac1f0c780abb144eb1b361d44be6ed12a4416b85d2a30ed

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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