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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33945

Cobh Ramblers VS Athlone Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.72%
Draw
26.09%
Away
38.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8196
Log loss
1.3435

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
76588438b1a8680c92e0f63a0d73d14ac9efbf542386d71e9dcd137ba5043e6b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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