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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33917

Hertha Zehlendorf VS Reinickendorfer Fuchse

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.07%
Draw
19.76%
Away
14.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1742
Log loss
0.4144

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
80cf7da70aea564b858190ba9b0ee759f111c890420b76355008d498621bb36a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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