Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #33884

Neudrossenfeld VS DJK Bamberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.23%
Draw
26.07%
Away
24.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8499
Log loss
1.3444

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
6eec3d356a4c18e6bbc10877542d8cae6e9088d49777d742fd9ef51b8d45e9f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →