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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33843

Pohronie VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.39%
Draw
25.56%
Away
29.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7747
Log loss
1.2362

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
79b5e63cd4a8857b0a93dcd2799c5d8b204ffcaf537fba89a9639c5ec01e2dc2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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