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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33834

Viitorul Corbeanca VS Păuleşti

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.49%
Draw
28.94%
Away
24.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7815
Log loss
1.2399

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
c35ddd7c7109f10ae9c3106592c9e6a28c0b1d04bca97cb4df5bb0db09917ead

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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