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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33758

Hapoel Acre VS Hapoel Afula

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.27%
Draw
23.27%
Away
52.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.3391
Log loss
0.6451

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
ec004f04b9410b0ad5210d0743359c4bac4a5014062aaa80ec3dcb5426ca9547

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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