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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33741

Masar VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.06%
Draw
24.90%
Away
20.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3041
Log loss
0.5967

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 06:59 UTC
SHA-256
307f1a49344841f4193c1695854587510f1aec1a8ad2d3a5b5351e1f5b336254

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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