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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33292

KAC Kenitra VS Wydad Fès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.04%
Draw
31.70%
Away
31.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7102
Log loss
1.1628

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
73fab2351443d3e94f957e1829eed864dcd1cba532e5f4b8cbc4fe1c503df9c8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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