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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3329

Inter U23 VS Foggia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.82%
Draw
33.23%
Away
27.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5628
Log loss
0.9462

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
17baff2ba377bc225e6e1e08794b149dfa265560234e073e63ee382a93fbecf7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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