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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33267

Bouaké VS AFAD

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.64%
Draw
27.96%
Away
43.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7758
Log loss
1.2504

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
e09ef38c7529045a7a2d0b164075cca2bf213c0e5491047fe0e61e383ee75545

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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