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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33253

MSP Batna VS MO Constantine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.69%
Draw
20.91%
Away
21.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0041
Log loss
1.5649

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
18ef497c91f03e436620c4701ac82fa34e5989c62c853557d33f06a4d0431e2e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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