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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33252

Mostaganem VS Hussein Dey

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.21%
Draw
21.40%
Away
20.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2620
Log loss
0.5411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
7f20cfd7fcb119b87dde3de908014a3035e399d6c39daf200f144d16507fc4e0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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