Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #33235

Siwelele U23 VS Sekhukhune United U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.17%
Draw
22.20%
Away
30.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7530
Log loss
1.1832

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
SHA-256
f01a76c17ba5132b56bda70ad799e09ce55dee4c01df3f3df6f0fcf4c81c925f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →