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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33147

Gremio Prudente U20 VS Juventus U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.89%
Draw
24.88%
Away
47.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8652
Log loss
1.3911

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
f4e356e006ea2f0444873a26c201d694b74c1eb8f4bb4cccf6405fb025253652

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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