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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33116

Congo VS Cameroon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.82%
Draw
28.37%
Away
45.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7896
Log loss
1.2598

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:42 UTC
SHA-256
5f1733d83d240c98a7a077594a48c7d4e735d9f0562e6bd6b8a24b7774e96c7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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