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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33052

Al-Khor VS UMM Salal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.67%
Draw
21.38%
Away
51.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3477
Log loss
0.6549

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
e0abaebb3608e6658699f68af2aa6cf344fbcc6ac1bd7523d730bdf124888800

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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