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Frozen pre-match forecast · #33035

Charlton Athletic U21 VS Millwall U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.48%
Draw
19.57%
Away
12.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1608
Log loss
0.3933

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
441e86c9c0a8fa1f10b6effec11af38604a0de438938cf69d8326de1a25dbd1a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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