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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32983

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.29%
Draw
26.71%
Away
18.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3036
Log loss
0.5926

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
2f048be44c540e10bd70ef53cf39dd34db683ece3c2890790c6a4fa6e38b9f3c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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