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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32973

Al Kharaitiyat VS Al Wakrah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.49%
Draw
21.83%
Away
46.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9281
Log loss
1.5219

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
611eb92620d75216024fd5c05cd3e64b9fd02d83cf06918daea7667b89f86207

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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