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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32970

Saipa VS Niroye Zamini

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.93%
Draw
31.15%
Away
4.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2296
Log loss
0.4474

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:41 UTC
SHA-256
4cc2b8f23625476c8f0b846e395a8f70dfa7565572babb3f33c84bedd8b897cd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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