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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32964

Tensung VS RTC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.34%
Draw
16.18%
Away
73.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.1072
Log loss
0.3082

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
ac522202a59fe2f1a9d27147e0022b559864d8f7f5bae431b1c40c30ede320f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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