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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32912

Guyana VS Cayman Islands

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.35%
Draw
17.35%
Away
17.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1801
Log loss
0.4254

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
4cae1b96c224e1f78d6b43adc5eff1a9801ac6b44bc3313558eb08c2f89e326e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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