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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3280

Rupel Boom VS De Kempen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.09%
Draw
33.13%
Away
34.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6382
Log loss
1.0563

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
833c4a176c102b084a2d58a977f48cb1f206961b00bcffed6b64a90d1484c22f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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