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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32772

Atlético Arteixo VS Alondras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.15%
Draw
26.83%
Away
40.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5416
Log loss
0.9158

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
45de8b71105e3acf75d97d11602202eddd66372831e3626150c4ee1fbb1e05a3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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