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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32747

Gibraltar VS Andorra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.51%
Draw
31.67%
Away
36.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7018
Log loss
1.1498

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
500911cce0d92610fe04820828c3cacbd5514007a2d62b9dd7033c21b97a69f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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