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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32713

Warri Wolves VS Shooting Stars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.01%
Draw
21.71%
Away
13.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1872
Log loss
0.4306

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
2f1bc2eccf5c6a63a4c45a7433f051b4d01083c98a5639b341eedb2d401c5cb1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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