Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #3269

FC Fredericia VS Vejle

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.24%
Draw
34.37%
Away
33.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6462
Log loss
1.0681

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:44 UTC
SHA-256
1137d3dfc573f2b66bb013b5fbc7809ce40b997527f686b5c423517998a0b00a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →