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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32618

Idrija VS Dob

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.62%
Draw
21.02%
Away
38.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5890
Log loss
0.9580

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
fe86cdc4eb5d9c34894ef5a90f43e0a76066033a33a19cbec1c2bbe703e6266b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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