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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32608

CSKA Sofia II VS Sportist Svoge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.45%
Draw
22.00%
Away
12.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1835
Log loss
0.4239

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
d64302c38c7320e5b2ffc630c7c28a2a1b62bfca41af27df3da7b00c704f48db

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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