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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32564

Sarrabus Ogliastra VS Unipomezia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.77%
Draw
24.86%
Away
46.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8623
Log loss
1.3918

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
387f5402f50bfe871472e9806bb00484490e486d4b556c4d23d1d84db25c76e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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