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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32555

Sporting Trestina VS Termoli Calcio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.72%
Draw
26.10%
Away
45.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7804
Log loss
1.2477

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
28b978427113de5dffa36f83b1456c5af30689d3b2c5a0cd60a6c7628d8eaf75

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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