Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #32537

Seravezza VS Terranuova Traiana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.97%
Draw
28.18%
Away
17.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3231
Log loss
0.6167

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
17ec0e7dea61a98bbf62e5650baf76a05323b6d521b67cfe722402ac3a0a0bf8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →