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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32525

Pro Patria VS Solbiatese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.50%
Draw
24.24%
Away
14.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1721
Log loss
1.9477

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
bd772dd09f27cdafd44a09897384316d890773573f7e594b7bd0bdb85402547b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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