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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32510

Conegliano VS LME

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.15%
Draw
26.63%
Away
29.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7668
Log loss
1.2303

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
9c2dabc742e1b07849865160569a27d1c3d3d3aa9c1b07061422e6a66c9dd55e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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