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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32491

Sestri Levante VS Biellese

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.12%
Draw
23.79%
Away
51.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3589
Log loss
0.6716

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
fc3c3fc3d9e51d925d2a8be84a1bf25917ddd9e3e4f43f309b5036eb49da9697

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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