Frozen pre-match forecast · #3242
SS Monopoli VS Crotone
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 33.24%
- Draw
- 32.72%
- Away
- 34.04%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6790
- Log loss
- 1.1172
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
Get the full match analysis
Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 16 Sep 2026 · 05:43 UTC
- SHA-256
- f91ea3b9b84fdf25775466dfde7a9a7d0d3db3c6e591b1c1daad7dbb766df150
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.