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Frozen pre-match forecast · #32281

Akron II VS KDV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.08%
Draw
21.22%
Away
32.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7103
Log loss
1.1178

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
fe86a495d616afc807c188a646981d98e5d26e2ab24b3ba36f94a305ab1b751a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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